How long will the next AI winter last? Any predictions?

I think this one may even be longer than the last one because this cycle was entirely due to the existence of GPUs and NVIDIA. There hasn't been a single fundamental innovation. Neural networks are ancient and are unlikely to be the holy grail of intelligence after multiple decades of failed attempts. It's like running an old game on an overclocked modern desktop and claiming you invented a new game. Since we are at the absolute peak of hype now (maybe a little past the peak already), this should be the start of the bear market for AGI. The real question is if Lisp will make a comeback in the aftermath.

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And yes, insect brain is actually harder to scan than mammal brain, because insects have smaller neuron size.